Fusion Fuel Green Stock Performance

HTOO Stock  USD 3.39  0.11  3.35%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.05, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Fusion Fuel will likely underperform. At this point, Fusion Fuel Green has a negative expected return of -0.0842%. Please make sure to confirm Fusion Fuel's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Fusion Fuel Green performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Fusion Fuel Green has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Fusion Fuel is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow1.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities800 K

Fusion Fuel Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  383.00  in Fusion Fuel Green on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (44.00) from holding Fusion Fuel Green or give up 11.49% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fusion Fuel Green is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.8423% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 43% of stocks are less volatile than Fusion, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fusion Fuel is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.48 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

Fusion Fuel Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Fusion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.39 90 days 3.39 
about 86.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fusion Fuel to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 86.28 (This Fusion Fuel Green probability density function shows the probability of Fusion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.05 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Fusion Fuel will likely underperform. Additionally Fusion Fuel Green has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Fusion Fuel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fusion Fuel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fusion Fuel Green. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.867.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.807.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.537.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.983.984.98
Details

Fusion Fuel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fusion Fuel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fusion Fuel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fusion Fuel Green, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fusion Fuel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Fusion Fuel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fusion Fuel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fusion Fuel Green can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fusion Fuel Green generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fusion Fuel Green has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Fusion Fuel Green has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.31 M.
Fusion Fuel Green currently holds about 35.13 M in cash with (8.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.68.

Fusion Fuel Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fusion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fusion Fuel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fusion Fuel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments214 K

Fusion Fuel Fundamentals Growth

Fusion Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fusion Fuel, and Fusion Fuel fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fusion Stock performance.

About Fusion Fuel Performance

By examining Fusion Fuel's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Fusion Fuel's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Fusion Fuel is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Fusion Fuel Green PLC focuses on the production of hydrogen in Portugal, Southern Europe, and Morocco. The company was founded in 2018 and is based in Dublin, Ireland. Fusion Fuel is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Fusion Fuel Green performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fusion Fuel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Fusion Fuel Green help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fusion Fuel Green generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Fusion Fuel Green has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Fusion Fuel Green has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.73 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.31 M.
Fusion Fuel Green currently holds about 35.13 M in cash with (8.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.68.
Evaluating Fusion Fuel's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Fusion Fuel's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Fusion Fuel's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fusion Fuel's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Fusion Fuel's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Fusion Fuel's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fusion Fuel's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fusion Fuel's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Fusion Fuel's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Fusion Fuel's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Fusion Fuel's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Fusion Fuel Green offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Fusion Fuel's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fusion Fuel Green Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fusion Fuel Green Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fusion Fuel Green. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Will Electric Utilities sector continue expanding? Could Fusion diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fusion Fuel. Market participants price Fusion higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Fusion Fuel data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Fusion Fuel Green using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Fusion Fuel's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Fusion Fuel's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fusion Fuel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fusion Fuel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Fusion Fuel's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.